Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Top five FIFA World Cup teams on MITRE's prediction market

As of June 29, 2010 the top five teams to win the cup are:

1. Brazil with 28.59% chances to win the cup
2. Spain with 18.04%
3. Germany with 14.02%
4. Netherlands with 12.04%
5. Argentina with 10.18%

I am betting on Germany.

My personal rank in the market (the is to stay in the upper third):



Most recently I received my prize from betting on appointment of John S. Pistole as the next T.S.A. Chief. Too bad I bet only one share (got 49 virtual dollars).

2 comments:

  1. Holland is the best team this year. They did not loose any game & send a five star out of the competition. Go Holland!!!!!!!!!!!

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  2. I agree, Holland has very good chances. In fact, Dutch chances increased to 27.5% in the last couple of days. Spain is 30.7% which I think is overrated (with all respect to my Spaniard friends). Germany has the highest chances so far 35.6%. So for now it is safe to bet on Holland.

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